由于美债收益率暂停上升，美元走弱

昨天由于美债收益率貌似暂停上升后，今天亚洲时段重启，昨天美元兑一些其他货币小幅走低总体而言，市场似乎已经巩固了对收紧货币政策的预期，目前对美联储 3 月会议上加息 25 个基点的预期已完全定价. 市场预期不允许美国股市关注收益季节，并继续推动美国主要股数走低.

以科技板块为主的纳斯达克似乎领跌，尽管美国国债收益率的上升暂停，但压力仍然很大. 黄金价格利用了美国收益率下跌的机会，昨日大幅上涨，但鉴于乌克兰的紧张局势以及美国总统拜登警告的俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的可能性，黄金价格可能也有一些避险资金流入.

Gold’s price jumped more than $30 higher yesterday, breaking the 1832 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the precious metal, given that the RSI indicator is near the reading of 70, yet the precious metal’s price could be prone for a correction lower. Should buyers actually maintain control over the precious metal, we may see it breaking the 1850 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1870 (R2) level. Should the a correction lower take place we may see gold’s price breaking the 1832 (S1) support lien and aim for the 1815 (S2) once again.

土耳其央行利率决议受到关注

在今天晚些时候土耳其央行利率决议以前，土耳其里拉兑美元似乎在昨天获得了一些小幅支撑，但总体而言，我们要注意的是，在 12 月下旬出现大幅波动之后，过去一个月土耳其里拉有所企稳. 我们要提出的是央行在上次会议上进行了降息, 央行积极的宽松政策可能会在今天会议上暂停，以确定里拉是否能够保持稳定，通胀是否能够得到遏制.

On a more fundamental level we must note that the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) has reached a swap deal with the United Arab Emirates central bank of almost $5 billion. The agreement would mean that the CBRT could tap the foreign currency to boost its FX reserves which are currently at very low levels, thus easing somewhat the strains of the bank to defend the Lira. The news were another sign of warmer relations between the two former arch enemies, which could be beneficial for the Lira.

该协议意味着土耳其央行可以利用外汇来增加其目前处于非常低水平的外汇储备，从而在一定程度上缓解银行捍卫里拉的压力. 这一消息是这两个曾宿敌关系回暖的另一个迹象，这可能对里拉有利.