RBA meeting minutes hint that the bank may continue

7月份澳联储会议纪要明确暗示央行考虑将进一步加息，正如声明所述 “通货膨胀压力可能比之前预期的更持久, 多家央行进一步加息，且央行表示可能需要进一步收紧货币政策”。这表明央行仍对“劳动力市场持续紧张反映出从活动到劳动力市场结果通常存在的滞后性”感到担忧”

USD/JPY tended to have some minor gains against the JPY, yet the pair continues to respect the 138.80 (R1) resistance level. We tend to maintain a neutral outlook for the pair, as long as the price action remains between the 137.45 (S1) support level and the 138.80 (R1) resistance level and supporting our case is the break above the downwards moving trendline, yet having failed to break above the 138.80 (R1) resistance line, in addition to the RSI indicator remaining near the figure of 50, implying a neutral market sentiment. For a bullish outlook, we would like to see a clear break above the 138.80 (R1) resistance level, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 140.80 (R2) resistance ceiling. On the other hand, for a bearish outlook, we would like to see a clear break below the 137.45 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being the 135.70 (S2) support base.

在美国市场, 我们注意到备受期待的美国零售销售率将于今天晚些时候发布,市场分析人士预计该比率将上升. 因此, 如果实现预期比率, 我们可能会看到美元将上涨, 因为如果他们希望继续他们激进的加息路径的话，这可能会给美联储提供一些喘息机会在美国股市, 我们注意到Morgan Stanley (#MS) 和LockheedMartin (#LockheedMT) 今天将发布收益报告, 预计两家公司的每股收益和收入均将超过上季度.

今日其他亮点:

在相当轻松的欧洲时段之后，我们注意到在美国时段发布的6月份美国零售销售,美国工业产量和加拿大消费物价指数率. 另一方面石油交易者对周美国API 原油库存数据的发布可能会更感兴趣，而在货币方面, 我们注意到英国央行MPC 成员Ramsden 计划将发言. 在明天亚洲时段, 我们注意到新西兰消费物价指数率的发布.